01 Dez

Lunch Talk: Probabilistic Belief Aggregation

Termin:

Di.:
12:15 Uhr

1. Dezember 2026

Ort:

Seestraße 13 80802 München

Sprecher: Prof. Marcus Pivato, Ph.D. (CAS Fellow/University Paris 1
Moderation: Prof. Dr. Christian List (LMU)

The economist Marcus Pivato is a Professor at the University Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne and currently a Visiting Fellow at CAS. In his lecture he focuses on an interesting aspect of decision theory: Many decisions hinge upon technical questions on which most people lack the necessary expertise, for example: climate policies, pandemic response, macroeconomics and AI safety. Suppose that a decisionmaker must make a decision of this kind. Lacking the relevant expertise, she asks a panel of experts to assign probabilities to different scenarios. But these experts disagree with one another. What should the decision-maker believe in this situation?

Das Forschungskolloquium am CAS richtet sich vorrangig an Universitätsangehörige.

Anmelde-Info

Für die Teilnahme ist eine Anmeldung unter info@cas.lmu.de erforderlich.