23 Mar
24 Mar

Model Choice in Bayesian Inference

Date:

23 March 2026 - 24 March 2026

Location:

Center for Advanced Studies Seestr. 13 80802 Munich

Workshop organized by Dr. Andreas Döpp and Dr. Tom Sterkenburg (CAS Young Center/LMU).

Bayesian inference is often said to begin with a prior, yet an even earlier step – the articulation of a statistical model – quietly fixes the outcome space, the likelihood, the data representation, and the structural assumptions that make inference possible. This workshop asks whether and how that step can be principled or partly formalized: what counts as a good modeling choice? How can simplicity and expressiveness be negotiated given the available evidence?

Participants include the members of the CAS Research Focus “Bayesian Reasoning”.

Keynote, 23 March, 6:30 p.m.:
Prof. Dr. Eric-Jan Wagenmakers: “The Ockham Factor”

Eric-Jan Wagenmakers is Professor in Bayesian Methodology at the Psychological Methods Unit of the University of Amsterdam.

Registration

Participation in the workshop is by invitation only. Please register for the keynote via info@cas.lmu.de.