Policies for the Prevention of Conflict
The multitude of intra- and international violent conflicts of the present and recent past give rise to increasing concerns about political risks and international stability.
The multitude of intra- and international violent conflicts of the present and recent past give rise to increasing concerns about political risks and international stability. Growing pressure due to military threats and economic disruptions, triggered by ethnic tensions, fierce international resource and trade competition, the Sars-CoV-2 pandemic, and the increasingly noticeable effects of climate change, is progressively erupting in violent conflicts. Even in many hitherto stable democracies, for example in Europe or the USA, social tensions are growing and trust in the authority of the state and the law as the preferred instrument for conflict resolution and reconciliation of interests is dwindling.
The Research Focus Group based at CAS uses and develops advanced methods of statistics, computer science, natural language processing, artificial intelligence and remote sensing to support effective policies for conflict prevention, conflict resolution and sustainable development. The objective is to establish an applied Computational Conflict Research Centre for the development of policy solutions.
Core Team
- Prof. Dr. Karsten Donnay (Political Science, Zurich)
- Prof. Dr. Lisandra Flach (ifo, Center for International Economics/LMU Munich)
- Prof. Dr. Göran Kauermann (Statistics, LMU Munich)
- Prof. Dr. Dominic Rohner (Economics, Geneva)
- Prof. Dr. Gabriele Spilker (Political Science, Konstanz)
- Prof. Dr. Nils Weidmann (Political Science, Konstanz)
- Prof. Dr. Xiaoxiang Zhu (Data Science in Earth Observation, TU Munich)
Advisory Board
- Prof. Dr. Timm Betz (Political Science, Washington University St. Louis)
- Prof. Dr. Cornelius Fritz (Statistics, Dublin)
- Dr. Marius Mehrl (Leeds University)
- Prof. Dr. Katrin Paula (Global Security and Technology, TU Munich)
Visiting Fellows
Uppsala University, Peace Research Institute Oslo
Peace and Conflict Research
Events
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23 OctPlanetary Causal Inference: Understanding Society and Economy through Earth ObservationSpeaker: Prof. Connor T. Jerzak, Ph.D. (CAS Fellow/Austin/IHME) | Chair: Prof. Dr. Daniel Wilhelm (LMU)
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10 JunLunch Talk: Climate Change, Conflict, and Cooperation
Speaker: Prof. Vally Koubi, Ph.D. (ETH / Bern) | Chair: Prof. Dr. Miranda Schreurs, Ph.D. (TUM)
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10 MayAccounting for Uncertainty when Forecasting Armed Conflict
Speaker: Prof. Håvard Hegre, Ph.D. (Uppsala) | Chair: Prof. Dr. Katrin Paula (TUM)
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15 FebThe Economics of Peace
Lecture by Prof. Dominic Rohner, Ph.D. (Lausanne). Moderation: Thomas Fromm (SZ)
Further events
- Workshop "Computational Conflict Research: Charting the Paths Ahead" (Summer Semester 2022)
- Workshop "New Pathways of Conflict Research" (Winter Semester 2022)
- Vortragsreihe "Prevention of Conflict" (Winter Semester 2022/23)
- Panel auf den German Data Science Days 2023 (Winter Semester 2022/23)
- Online-Vortrag von Dr. Lucie Béraud-Sudreau, Dr. Nan Tian and Dr. Siemon T. Wezeman (SIPRI) – How Can We Monitor the Global Armament? Analyzing Data on Arms Transfers, Military Spending and Arms Industry (Summer Semester 2023)
Stephan Huber “Shining”
Stephan Huber's artwork “Shining” was at the center of his 2022 CAS exhibition. It depicts Huber’s bright yellow childhood home in a gray-white ice landscape.